Service Plays Sunday 5/23/10

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<!-- / icon and title --> <!-- message --> New Addition to Service Play Forum..Specifically for posting additional topics.

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

You can also create individual threads about specific services and discuss them freely but civilly. Again bashing and abusive treatment of any services will not be tolerated.

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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Lastly The Rx Moderators are appealing to you our everyday posters to report any promotional threads or posts that are made by services or individual touts. No links or contact information to an individual service will be allowed. Just the name of the service. Please report any threads or posts that are promotional attempts by services and touts to use this forum to promote themselves..

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I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




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ICE PICKS

Sunday's Best NHL Bet

San Jose Sharks at Chicago Blackhawks (-175, 5.5)

Coming back from 3-0 series deficit isn’t an easy thing to do in the Stanley Cup, especially after a deflating loss like the Sharks suffered Friday night.

The Sharks tied the game late in the third period and outplayed Chicago for much of the overtime before a missed defensive assignment left Dustin Byfuglien wide open in the slot area.

"We just want to win a game and get back to San Jose and see what happens there," Sharks center Joe Thornton told the San Jose Mercury News.

The Sharks can take comfort knowing that the Flyers just climbed out of a 3-0 series hole last round against the Bruins.

"It just happened, so it's not impossible,” Sharks sniper Patrick Marleau said. “We can try to feed off of that.”

Yes, but Philadelphia’s turnaround began at home, much like the Red Sox’s back in 2004. Starting the long haul back on the road is no easy task.

Pick: Blackhawks
 
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NHL NEWS AND NOTES

What Bettors Need To Know: Sharks at Blackhawks

Toothless Sharks

San Jose finished on the wrong side of another one-goal game and fell behind 3-0 in its best of seven series against the Blackhawks. Chicago only has to win at home on Sunday to secure its spot in the Stanley Cup finals.

The Sharks are on the brink of elimination despite not playing a bad game yet in this series. They’ve outshot the Hawks in all three games but haven’t been as opportunistic with their chances as their rivals.

"Nobody's feeling sorry for us," Sharks forward Joe Thornton told the San Jose Mercury News following Friday’s 3-2 overtime loss. "There are 13 teams in each conference that would love to be still playing right now."

Antti is the antidote

All season long, Chicago’s one big question mark was between the pipes. The club let proven vet Nikolai Khabibulin go in the offseason thinking Cristobal Huet could carry the load in his place.

But Huet proved unreliable and Antti Neimi won the starting job in the last month of the regular season. The Fin struggled at times in his first two playoff series but he’s rounded into form nicely.

Neimi carries a 1.50 goals against average, a .959 save percentage and a 4-0 record in his last four playoff games into Game 4 on Sunday.

"We're running up against a good goaltender. We've got to keep going and persevere," Thornton told reporters.

Lone gunman

The only Shark player who’s having any success against Neimi is Patrick Marleau. The former team captain has scored four of San Jose’s five goals in this season.

Dany Heatley is the Sharks’ top sniper but he’s been a shell of himself this postseason with just two goals this postseason.

"If you're a goal-scorer, you have to score goals," Heatley told the Chicago Tribune before Game 3. "I haven't gotten many so far. But I'm just trying to do the right things and create chances."

Home away from home

The Blackhawks are 7-1 on the road and just 4-3 at home during this year’s playoffs. The club decided to capitalize on the trend by trying to trick themselves into thinking Game 3 was an away date.

The Hawks checked into a downtown Chicago hotel after a morning skate before returning later that evening to the United Center for Game 3.

"I don't think we're superstitious as a group or anything like that,” Hawks captain Jonathan Toews told reporters. “Definitely the more time we spend together, the more we're focused on our job collectively as a team."

Apparently Chicago players are pushing to repeat the process for Game 4.

"I hope so — (it) has really good beds," forward Kris Versteeg said. "Four hundred bucks a night, I hope it does."

Don't forget...

Road teams facing elimination in this year’s playoffs are 6-2.
 
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NBA NEWS AND NOTES

Game of the day: Lakers at Suns

Current odds

The oddsmakers have made a substantial adjustment on both the side and total for Game 3. The Lakers were 6.5 and 7.5-point favorites at home in both Games 1 and 2, but now the Suns are 2.5-point home favorites.

This 10-point adjustment is largely due to the fact that teams down 0-2 usually give a strong performance at home in Game 3.

The first two games soared over the total in Los Angeles with 235 and 236 points scored. The oddsmakers have been forced to adjust the over/under line higher and it now stands at 219, which is 8.5 points higher than the 210.5 point total posted for Game 1.

Historically, NBA teams that hold a 2-0 lead go on to win a best-of-7 series over 93 percent of the time. This has been reflected in the adjusted series price as the Lakers are now a -1200 favorite, compared to just a -340 when the series began.

Home court advantage

The home team has dominated the six head-to-head meetings this season, going 5-1 straight up and against the spread, winning by an average margin of 13.5 points per game. Going back further, the home team has won eight of the past nine meetings SU and has covered seven of the past eight games.

Phoenix is 16-4-1 ATS in its past 21 home games, including a current 11-1-1 ATS run. The Suns are also on a 33-13-1 ATS run in their past 47 games overall, despite going 0-2 ATS at Los Angeles this past week.

The money quarter

Phoenix has seen a huge reversal in the fourth quarter from its last series against the San Antonio Spurs. Over their four-game sweep, the Suns outscored San Antonio by 25 points (132-107) in the final frame. Phoenix averaged 33 points over the final 12 minutes in those four games, but those numbers are way down against the Lakers.

In the first two games in Los Angeles, the Suns have scored a total of only 50 points in the fourth quarter. The Lakers have scored 69 points in the money quarter and that 19-point advantage is one of the reasons why they are up 2-0 in the series.

Bench points

The second unit of Los Angeles has played a huge role so far in this series. The Lakers’ bench has scored 80 points in the two games with Lamar Odom’s 36 points leading the way. Odom, along with guards Shannon Brom and Jordan Farmer, aren't letting the Suns make up any ground when Phil Jackson takes out his starters.

Phoenix is getting next to nothing from their bench. Channing Frye, whose long distance shooting can be difference maker, and Leandro Barbosa have been downright awful.

Bigger is better

There was no secret going into this series that Los Angeles held a huge edge inside the paint. Phoenix is getting torched inside With Pau Gasol, Andrew Bynum and Lamar Odom controlling the block. The trio has scored 103 points in the first two games and that should continue unless Amare Stoudemire and Robin Lopez man-up in the paint.

The Lakers have outscored the Suns by 28 points (108-80) in the paint. Those numbers are no fluke either because the Lakers scored a total of 196 points in the paint in the four regular season meetings, besting the Suns by 34 points in that department.
 
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Pick 'n' Roll: Today's best NBA bets

Los Angeles Lakers at Phoenix Suns (-2.5, 219)

The Lakers barely broke a sweat at home in the first two games against the Suns, but now the series shifts to Phoenix where Steve Nash and Company are 12-1 straight up and 11-1-1 against the spread.

"It's still somewhat comical to me that when we won our first two games against San Antonio (in Phoenix) all everyone wrote is that, 'Well, they really haven't done anything. They just did what they were supposed to do,' " Suns coach Alvin Gentry told the Arizona Republic.

"Then we lost the first two games in LA and they already got us buried. Has anyone gone in there and won a game this year on their court in the playoffs? All right. I'm just wondering about that."

Phoenix will need Amar’e Stoudemire to start producing for it to turn things around. So far all Stoudemire has done is a lot of talking and not much on the court to back up his words.

The All-Star big man tweeted the Cavs would have won the championship with him on their roster after Cleveland was eliminated from the postseason, he followed that up by saying Laker forward Lamar Odom was “lucky” getting 19 points and 19 rebounds in Game 1.

Meanwhile Stoudemire has grabbed just nine rebounds in two games vs. Los Angeles and has played the part of a chair perfectly while trying to defend Pau Gasol.

As miserable as the Suns played so far in this series, you have to figure they’ll put one game out on their home floor.

Pick: Suns
 

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igz1 sports

Bonus Play from mlb card
5* Game at noon
3* Tampa Bay RL -1.5 (-115) (Price)

NBA
4* Over 219 (-110) Lakers vs Suns
 

ugk

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PAPAYAGANG PICKS
20* Washington ML
20* Tampa Bay ML
50* Florida ML
20* LA Lakers +3 buy the hook
 
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HOT LINES

Sunday's Best MLB Bets

Los Angeles Angels at St Louis Cardinals (-170, 7)

Tony La Russa is set in his managing ways. But five days ago he decided to drop Albert Pujols from the No. 3 spot in the lineup to cleanup.

The experiment didn’t last too long because on Saturday The Machine was back hitting in the first inning.

"Our lineup is Albert third," La Russa said. "The best player on your team hits third. One of the values that Matt (Holliday) showed last year and one reason we were so excited to bring him back is he's our cleanup hitter.”

The Cardinals went 4-1 while Pujols was in the four-hole but it wasn’t because the offense was pounding out runs with a new lineup. The team averaged 4.6 runs in those five games and Pujols went 6-for-16 with three runs scored and zero RBI.

After returning to the cleanup spot Saturday, Holliday went 2-for-4 with two RBIs while hitting his first home run in St. Louis. Pujols went 0-for-4 as the No. 3 hitter but should return to form now that he’s back in a comfortable spot.

Even with the team’s two aces on the hill for the Sunday matinee, these lineups are heating up (10-7 Saturday) and bettors should expect this game to eclipse the total.

Pick: Over


Chicago Cubs at Texas Rangers (-165, 9)

The Cubs stole away renowned hitting coach Rudy Jaramillo from Texas this offseason but the move hasn’t paid dividends yet.

Two of Chicago’s biggest sluggers, Aramis Ramirez and Derrek Lee, have failed to produce this season.

Lee is hitting .222 with five homers and 18 RBIs while Ramirez is even worse with a .166 batting average and only three multi-hit games all season.

"Their timing is off, and they're not letting the ball get deep enough [in the strike zone]," said Jaramillo. “It's something they have to work out as they go. It can be mechanical, it can be mental, or it can be both."

“I haven't found that groove where I'm really seeing the ball and putting a good swing on it when I get my pitch,” said Lee, who is hitting fewer line drives and ground balls than last year according FanGraphs.com. “I know I've had a ton of poor starts, but I didn't see this coming."

These two “power-hitting” squads played a 2-1 game in the opener of this series Friday and have combined for a 33-44-9 over/under record this season.

Pick: Under
 
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King Creole | NBA Sides Sun, 05/23/10 - 8:30 PM

double-dime bet 511 LAL 2.5 (-110) BetUS vs 512 PHO
Analysis: 8:30pm ET / Round 3 - Game 3 / Los Angeles Lakers @ Phoenix Suns
2** Play on: LOS ANGELES LAKERS plus the points

As the series shifts to Phoenix, the Suns have been installed as short home favorites on Game Three... with an extremely high Over / Under line to boot. That's the first area that we queried in the Playbook NBA post-season database.

0-5-1 ATS since 03: All Playoff GAME THREE home favorites of 6 < points (Suns)... with an OU line of 215 > points.

Stepping back to include ALL Playoff games, we come up with this System based on the OU line:
3-15 ATS: All Playoff home teams (Suns) vs a fellow DIVISION opponent (LAKERS)... when the OU line is 218 > points. Since the 2003 season, these hosts have gone 0-4 ATS.

The first two games of this series were ugly for the host Suns. They lost Game One 128 to 107.... and Game Two 124 to 112.
1-6 ATS since 06: All Playoff GAME THREE home teams (Suns) in Rounds 2,3, or 4 playing off BB SU and ATS double-digit losses. If these hosts are favored by < 7 points, the results have gone 0-4 ATS.

Both teams came off PERFECT 4-game SWEEPS in their previous Playoff round.
6-1 ATS: All Playoff GAME THREE teams playing off BB ATS wins (LAKERS)... who won their last Playoff series 4 games to ZERO.
0-4 ATS: All Playoff GAME THREE teams playing of BB SU losses (Suns)... who won their last Playoff series 4 games to ZERO.

LA comes in as the #1 Seed in the Western Conference. Phoenix comes in as the #3 Seed.
5-1 ATS: All Playoff GAME THREE #1 Seeds (LAKERS)... versus a #3 Seed (Suns).

A look at the Day of the Week also puts us on the right side...
2-10 ATS: All Playoff SUNDAY home teams (Suns) versus a DIVISION opponent (LAKERS).... in Rounds 3 or 4.

Let's run a System for the 'short' line....
2-12 ATS: All WESTERN CONFERENCE Round Three home favorites of 3 < points (Suns). Since the 2001 season, these teams have gone 1-9 ATS.
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Flyers Saturday but missed with the Magic (+3-1/2) last night.

Sunday it's the Lakers. The deficit is 1000 sirignanos.
 
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Hondo

Hondo went double-draino last night, swirling down the tubes with the Brewers and Phillies to raise the number on the big red deficit toteboard to 580 stiebs.

Today, mark him down for a Marcum play -- 10 units on the Jays. Also, he'll say si, si to Sabathia -- 10 units on the Yankees.
 
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DCI NBA

Season
Straight Up: 861-373 (.698)
ATS: 658-614 (.517)
ATS Vary Units: 1564-1485 (.513)
Over/Under: 631-649 (.493)
Over/Under Vary Units: 819-848 (.491)

Western Conference Playoffs, Finals
Game 3, best-of-7 series
PHOENIX 110, L.A. Lakers 105
 
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DCI NHL

Season: 446-302 (.596)

Western Conference Playoffs, Finals
Game 4, best-of-7 series
CHICAGO 3, San Jose 2
 
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SPORTS ADVISORS

SUNDAY, MAY 23

NBA PLAYOFFS

WESTERN CONFERENCE

L.A. Lakers (10-2, 8-4 ATS) at Phoenix (8-4 SU and ATS)

The Suns, perhaps the hottest team in the NBA in the two-month stretch preceding the Western Conference finals, now find themselves in a must-win game as they return to U.S. Airways Arena for Game 3 of this best-of-7 series against the defending champion Lakers. Phoenix was on a 22-4 SU roll (19-6-1 ATS) heading into this series, but allowed the Lakers to break 120 points in each of the first two games, including Wednesday’s 124-112 loss as a 7½-point underdog. The Suns tumbled despite five players scoring in double figures, led by Jason Richardson (27 points) and Grant Hill (23), and despite Steve Nash doubling up with 11 points and 15 assists. Los Angeles again shot lights out from the field in Game 2, hitting 57.7 percent (45 of 78) while the Suns shot 49.4 percent, this after outshooting the Suns 58 percent to 49.4 percent in Game 1. Pau Gasol had 29 points and nine rebounds in Wednesday’s win, and Kobe Bryant followed up a 40-point Game 1 effort with 21 points and 13 assists as six Lakers reached double-digit scoring. Los Angeles is 5-1 SU and ATS in its six meetings with Phoenix this season. The Lakers have won nine of the last 11 SU in this rivalry and is 11-4 ATS in the last 15. The home team has cashed in seven of the last eight meetings, and the chalk is on a 5-1 ATS swing. Still, L.A. has gone 8-3 ATS in its last 11 trips to the desert. These squads also met in the first round in 2006 and 2007, with Phoenix taking both series, rallying from a 3-1 deficit in ’06 while going 4-3 ATS, and rolling in five games in ’07 (2-3 ATS). The SU winner is 13-1 ATS in the last 13 Lakers-Suns clashes (6-0 this year). Also, the SU winner has cashed in all 12 of Phoenix’s playoff games and in 21 in a row overall for the Suns, and the SU winner is 10-2 ATS in Los Angeles’ dozen playoff games this year. Los Angeles is 26-20 (20-25-1 ATS) on the road this season (3-2 SU and ATS in the playoffs), winning SU and ATS in its last three on the highway, first to close out Oklahoma City in Game 6 in the first round, then taking Games 3 and 4 of a sweep against Utah. Phoenix is 36-10 (29-16-1 ATS) in the home jerseys, winning its last four SU and ATS after dropping the first-round opener against Portland. The Lakers sport positive pointspread streaks of 7-1 overall (5-0 last five), 6-1 following a SU win (5-0 last five), 5-1 in conference finals starts (4-0 last four), 7-2 as a playoff pup and 17-8 after three or more days rest. That said, they’re just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 starts after a spread-cover and 1-4 ATS in their last five Sunday contests. The Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last seven conference finals outings (0-4 last four), 2-7 ATS in their last nine after a SU loss of more than 10 points and 6-14-1 ATS after a break of three days or more. On the flip side, they still own a bevy of positive ATS streaks, including 33-13-1 overall, 16-4-1 at home, 7-1 after a non-cover, 5-1 after a SU loss, 4-1 as a playoff chalk and 40-19-2 as a home favorite. Los Angeles is on “over” surges of 8-1-1 overall (5-0-1 last six), 4-1 as a visitor, 6-2 as a chalk, 5-0-1 after a SU win and 4-1 in the conference finals going back to last season. Phoenix is on “over” stretches of 5-1 overall, 5-1 at home, 5-0 after a three or more days off, 8-0 after a road trip of seven or more days, 6-2 after a non-cover and 15-7 as a playoff chalk, but the under is 9-4 in the Suns’ last 13 games following a double-digit defeat. Finally, the total sailed over the posted price in Games 1 and 2, and the over is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings between these Pacific Division rivals.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


INTERLEAGUE

Detroit (24-19) at L.A. Dodgers (25-18)

Hiroki Kuroda (5-1, 2.87 ERA) goes after his fourth straight victory when he tries to lead the red-hot Dodgers to a sweep of the Tigers and Rick Porcello (3-4, 5.93) in the finale of a three-game interleague series at Dodger Stadium. Los Angeles has taken the first two games of this series by scores of 4-1 and 6-4, improving to 17-4 in its last 21 games, including 11-1 in the last 12. The Dodgers have also won 11 of 14 at home during their 17-4 run, stretching their record to 15-7 at Dodger Stadium. On top of that, L.A. is on upticks of 14-3 against right-handed starters, 21-6 versus righties at home, 8-1 versus winning teams and 4-1 on Sunday. Despite winning the first two games of this series, Joe Torre’s squad remains in interleague slumps of 31-52 overall and 8-20 against the A.L. Central. The Tigers have lost consecutive games for the first time since a getting swept in a three-game series in Minnesota on May 3-5. Detroit has also now lost six of nine on the road and eight of 10 in National League ballparks. On the positive end Jim Leyland’s club is on impressive runs of 9-3 on Sunday, 9-4 in the third game of a series, 53-25 in interleague action overall and 42-21 when facing right-handed starters in interleague play. These teams met two years ago in Motown, and Detroit swept a three-game series, outscoring Los Angeles 22-11. Prior to that, the Dodgers had won five of six from the Tigers in two separate series in 2003 (road) and 2005 (home). Porcello threw a gem against the Yankees on May 12, scattering four hits and three walks over seven scoreless innings en route to a 2-0 victory. However, he regressed on Tuesday against the White Sox, yielding four runs on eight hits in seven innings of a 6-2 home loss. The Tigers are just 2-5 in Procello’s seven starts this season, and the right-hander is 0-3 with a 9.88 ERA in three starts. Going back to last season, Detroit has dropped Porcello’s last four starts on the highway and four of five when he works on Sunday. However, they went 4-0 in Porcello’s four interleague contests last season, with the then-rookie allowing just five earned runs in 23 2/3 innings (1.90 ERA). Kuroda surrendered three runs on seven hits in six innings of a 7-3 home win over Houston on Tuesday – the seventh time in eight starts this season that he’s given up three earned runs or fewer. Los Angeles is 7-1 in back of Kuroda this season, including 4-0 in his last four starts. Additionally, the Dodgers are 20-8 in the right-hander’s last 28 home games, including 4-0 this season with Kuroda going 2-0 with a 3.42 ERA. On the downside, L.A. has lost eight of Kuroda’s last 11 Sunday starts and four of his last five against the American League. He has never faced the Tigers. Detroit carries a slew of “under” trends, including 8-3-1 overall, 5-0 in the third game of a series, 6-2-1 versus right-handed starters, 15-7-1 in N.L. parks and 18-8-1 against the N.L. West. However, with Porcello starting, the Tigers are on “over” runs of 5-2 overall, 4-1 on the road and 4-1 in the third game of a series. For Los Angeles, the under has hit in nine of 14 overall, four of five on Sunday, six of eight against winning teams, 12 of 18 interleague home games and six of nine against the A.L. Central. However, the over is 9-4 in its last 13 at Dodger Stadium, and the over is 9-2 in Kuroda’s last 11 starts overall (4-0 in his last four home outings.) Lastly, these teams have stayed under the total in seven of 11 meetings since 2003, including four of the last six.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


N.Y. Yankees (26-17) at N.Y. Mets (21-23)

A couple of former Cy Young Award winners square off in the rubber match of the Subway Series at Citi Field, with CC Sabathia (4-2, 3.43) set to take the ball for the Yankees while the Mets counter with Johan Santana (3-2, 3.72) in a nationally televised contest. The Yankees snapped a three-game losing skid with Friday’s 2-1 series-opening victory, but the Mets bounced back with a 5-3 victory on Saturday, ending a four-game losing skid to their Subway Series rivals. The Yankees are just 2-5 in their last seven games and 5-9 in their last 14 (2-5 on the road). That said, the defending world champs are still riding a slew of positive streaks, including 102-48 overall, 10-3 in interleague play (all against the N.L. East), 8-2 in interleague road games, 4-1 when favored against N.L. teams, 53-22 as a favorite overall, 36-17 against losing teams, 47-22 versus left-handed starters and 15-7 on Sunday.
Since ending April with a season-best eight-game winning streak, the Mets have posted a 7-14 record in May. They’ve lost eight of their last 11 overall, four of six at home, six of seven interleague games (all at home, all against the A.L. East), 20 of 42 as an underdog and five of six on Sunday. On the positive end, Jerry Manuel’s squad is on runs of 5-2 against left-handed starters, 6-2 as a home underdog and 9-4 when facing lefties at home in interleague play. Since the start of last season, the Yankees have won six of eight against the Mets, including the four of the last five (all at Citi Field). Going back to 2008, the Yanks are on a 6-2 roll when playing in Queens.
Sabathia bounced back from a 6-0 loss at Detroit in which he allowed all six runs in six innings with a strong showing against the Red Sox on Tuesday, allowing just a run on four hits in seven innings. The veteran left-hander departed with a 5-1 lead but the bullpen couldn’t hold it and the Yankees eventually fell, 7-6. Sabathia struggled in his last two road starts at Detroit and Boston (nine runs allowed in 10 2/3 innings), and he’s now 2-2 with a 4.58 ERA in six starts on the highway. Still, behind Sabathia, the Yanks remain on hot streaks of 20-6 overall, 11-4 on the road, 10-3 as a road favorite and 4-1 on Sunday. Also, Sabathia has faced the Mets twice, going 2-0 with a miniscule 1.20 ERA. Santana has been outstanding in his last two trips to the mound – both on the road – going seven innings in each contest while holding the Marlins and Braves to a combined three runs (two earned) on 11 hits and three walks. However, he had nothing to show for it as the Mets lost 2-1 in Florida and 3-2 in Atlanta. The Mets are 4-1 in Santana’s five starts at home, where he’s 3-1 with a 3.19 ERA. But they’ve lost five of his last six against A.L. opponents and five of his last six on Sunday. Last June, he faced the Yankees once at Yankee Stadium and got destroyed, allowing nine runs on nine hits in three innings of a 15-0 loss. Prior to that, Santana had gone 4-1 with a 2.71 ERA in 12 career regular and postseason appearances (nine starts) against the Bronx Bombers. The Yankees have stayed under the total in five of six road games and four of five against southpaw starters, but they’re also on “over” runs of 6-1 overall, 5-1 in interleague action (all against the N.L. East), 10-4-1 versus losing teams and 6-2 on Sunday. Also, with Sabathia on the mound, the over is on stretches of 18-4 on the road, 7-0 on Sunday and 6-2 in the third game of a series. The over is 8-2 in the Mets’ last 10 home games, 12-4-1 in their last 17 interleague contests against lefty starters and 4-1 in their last five on Sunday. From there, however, they’re on “under” runs of 4-2 overall, 6-3-1 in interleague play, 8-3 when hosting A.L. opponents, 5-2-1 in Santana’s last eight starts overall, 6-1 in his last seven as a ‘dog and 3-1-2 in his last six interleague contests. Finally, these rivals have stayed under the posted total in seven of their last 11 clashes overall and seven of the last nine at Citi Field.

ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. YANKEES
 
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